IF BRITAIN votes to leave the EU, it seems likely to spell the end of David Cameron as Prime Minister. Even if he does not resign, his backbenchers will force him out. In the circumstances it will be hard for those who backed Remain to step into the role; the most likely replacement would be someone from the Brexit camp, such as Boris Johnson or Michael Gove (pictured).
So what kind of deal with the EU would such leaders negotiate? It has been a long-standing problem for the Brexit campaign that they have not been able to articulate what sort of trade deal they could arrange. A Norway/Switzerland style deal would guarantee access to the single market (making life easier for British firms to operate in continental Europe) but at the cost of agreeing to free movement of labour and EU Budget contributions, two things Brexiteers dislike. A simple trade deal under WTO rules would be better in sovereignty terms but worse in economic ones; British goods could face some tariffs and in services (an area of British expertise and buoyant exports), access would be restricted.
Mr Gove said recently that he Continue reading
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